CONTACT:
Woodrow Johnston
202-713-6271
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE (Jan 30, 2024)
LAS VEGAS, NV – In a striking development that could reshape the narrative of the 2024 Presidential race, Providence, a collaborative effort between Revere Solutions and DecipherAi, has unveiled a poll with potentially dramatic consequences. The poll suggests that Former Governor and UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is poised to face an unprecedented defeat not to Former President Donald J. Trump but to “None of These Candidates” in Nevada’s Presidential Preference Primary, a result that could significantly influence her campaign strategy ahead of the pivotal South Carolina primary.
Results of the Poll:
The poll shows “None of These Candidates” could astonishingly receive about 59.2% of the vote, with Nikki Haley polling at 40.8% With a +/- 4% margin of error with a 95% confidence level. A polling memo is attached that goes further into detail.
Historical Context:
In Nevada, the current political landscape for nominating presidential candidates is distinct due to the coexistence of both a caucus and a primary, each with its unique implications. Historically, the caucus, a practice established in 1981, has been a cornerstone of the Republican Party’s presidential selection process, involving party members in local gatherings to vote and discuss candidates, thereby directly influencing delegate allocation for the national convention.
However, in 2020, the Nevada Republican Party made a notable decision to cancel the caucus and declare Donald Trump the nominee, further complicating public understanding of the state’s nominating process. This was followed by a significant legislative change in 2021, where the Nevada Legislature removed the state mandate for the caucus, giving political parties the discretion to determine their approach to candidate selection.
The Nevada Republican Party chose to continue with the caucus system for the 2024 election and established a rule prohibiting those who participate in the presidential preference primary from participating in the caucus. The primary, a separate non-binding vote, offers a wider voter base the chance to express their candidate preference and, while not directly impacting delegate allocation, could act as an indicator of public support. The existence of both systems allows for a multifaceted expression of political preference in Nevada, reflecting both the dedicated party base through the caucus and the general electorate’s perspective in the primary.
Donald J. Trump’s campaign has decided to participate in the Republican Caucus on February 8th. Nikki Haley’s campaign has decided to participate in the non-binding Presidential Preference Primary on February 6th.
Nevada’s distinctive ‘None of These Candidates’ option, unique to the state’s statewide and presidential contests, serves as more than just an alternative to traditional write-in votes. While this choice has not typically played a decisive role in presidential races, its impact has been felt in some statewide primaries. Notably, this option has secured victory four times. The most significant of these was in the 2014 Nevada Democratic Gubernatorial primary, where ‘None of These Candidates’ garnered more votes than any individual candidate, including Bob Goodman. Although Goodman, as the second-place finisher, technically became the Democratic nominee, the result was largely symbolic. He subsequently faced a historic landslide defeat in the general election. This highlights the complex, and sometimes paradoxical, impact of this option in Nevada’s political dynamics, underscoring the potential for a symbolic yet impactful outcome in the current primary, where Nikki Haley risks losing to ‘None of These Candidates.’
About Providence:
Providence is a joint venture between Revere Solutions and DecipherAi, established with the mission to democratize access to high-quality, scientific polling and analytics. This collaboration brings together the strategic political consulting expertise of Revere Solutions and the advanced data analysis capabilities of DecipherAi. The venture is dedicated to providing top-notch polling services to candidates and organizations that have traditionally found such resources to be inaccessible or cost-prohibitive.
At its core, Providence aims to level the playing field in political campaigns by offering accurate, comprehensive, and actionable insights that were once the exclusive domain of well-funded campaigns. Through this partnership, Providence harnesses the power of cutting-edge polling methodologies and predictive analytics to deliver insights that can shape campaign strategies, understand voter behavior, and anticipate electoral outcomes.
About Revere Solutions and Woodrow Johnston:
Woodrow Johnston, the CEO of Revere Solutions, brings over a decade of rich experience in electoral politics. Starting his career as a field organizer, Johnston’s journey through the ranks of political campaigning has equipped him with a deep understanding of the various facets of political strategy. His expertise spans a wide range of areas including polling, fundraising, video production, digital and television advertising, opposition research, grassroots organization, communications, and messaging.
Johnston’s versatility and mastery in these areas have significantly contributed to the growth and success of Revere Solutions. Under his leadership, the firm has been instrumental in working with a diverse array of candidates, from outspoken conservatives to pragmatic Republicans. Notably, Johnston played a key role in the independent expenditure effort to re-elect Congressman Will Hurd, a Republican in a Democratic district, in 2018.
At Revere Solutions, Johnston’s innovative approach and commitment to excellence have turned the firm into a powerhouse in political consulting. The firm, living up to its slogan “Outride the Regulars,” continues to break new ground in the political landscape, offering its clients cutting-edge solutions in a rapidly evolving environment.
His insights and strategies have also been sought after by media outlets, where he has frequently served as a political analyst.
About David Jay Wolfson and DecipherAi
David Jay Wolfson is a national pollster with a notable track record in both the domestic and international political landscape. He stands out in the realm of predictive analytics modeling. Currently, Wolfson is a Lecturer at Columbia University’s Political Analytics graduate program.
David Jay Wolfson, the principal figure at DecipherAi, is known for his work in comprehensive political analysis and strategic guidance. His extensive experience includes conducting significant social issue polls, even within the challenging context of Mainland China. Wolfson’s prior roles include Director of Client Strategy for Cygnal and Senior Client Strategist for WPA Intelligence (WPAi) in Washington D.C., where he helped advance voter and consumer targeting technologies.
Under Wolfson’s leadership, DecipherAi has established itself as a firm that provides reliable and insightful analysis. The firm caters to a broad spectrum of clients, including political candidates, officeholders, corporations, and associations, helping them navigate complex issues with strategic insights based on sound research. His approach to polling integrates traditional techniques with modern behavioral science methodologies, making him a respected figure in the political sphere.